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Friday, December 31, 2004 |
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Talking To Someone: Reader Feedback
These are all good points but I am sticking to my thesis. Talking to a human is not what I want. I want systems and processes that work the way they are supposed to work. I believe that wanting to talk to someone is a response to the frustration that we feel when a system or a process has broken down. Another way to say it is that if I could wave a magic wand and have a company provide live telephone support with humans or make their systems and processes work properly (including integration with their sub-contractors), I would take the latter. I must admit I am quite surprised to learn of Amazon having a breakdown. This is the first I have heard of that happening. It sounds like a transportation snafu and I suspect that the recent airline difficulties are at the root of the problem. Not that this is an excuse. If Amazon guaranteed delivery they obviously relied on some discussions they had with their shipping provider, which I believe is more dependent on the USPS than in the past. One more time, if there was a choice of talking to someone or having Amazon provide a delivery tracking link with every shipment, I would take the latter. |
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Thursday, December 30, 2004 |
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I Want To Talk To A Human: Not Really
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Wednesday, December 29, 2004 |
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On Demand Update Thanks to Wendy Warnecke at IBM for pointing out that my story about On Demand was getting old. I updated the story. |
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On Demand Revisited
Although I continue to be enthusiastic about the vast potential of the Internet, I felt at the time that the ASP model was premature -- primarily because there were not enough people with always on, high quality, reliable, connections to the net. (network computers suffered from the same problem). On top of the network issue was the fact that the ASP solutions introduced were of questionable value and the result was that the ASP model essentially disappeared. What goes around, comes around – the ASP is back. The successful ones will be On Demand businesses. (read more) |
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Thursday, December 23, 2004 |
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The Bubble: Reconsidering the Boom and the Bust
Rob Norton asked me to write the essay below. Many thanks to Rob for his editing assistance. The essay was published by Booz Allen Hamilton in their magazine, Strategy+Business, Isssue 37, Winter 2004.
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| The Bubble - Reconsidering the Boom and the Bust by John R. Patrick As Internet companies began to implode in large numbers during the final months of 2000, an early warning sign of the extent of their difficulties was a Wall Street Journal story about the failure of a European e-tailer, headlined "Boo.com's Collapse Further Darkens E-Tailing Picture." The implication was gloom and doom, and it was prescient. Webmergers.com reported that at least 210 Internet companies folded in the year 2000. By December 27, 2001, the Journal reported that the "Dot-Com Death Toll" had more than doubled, to 537. The "bubble" had popped. (read full essay) |
On Demand December 23, 2004 10:05 AM
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Wednesday, December 22, 2004 |
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Weekends On Demand -- Reader feedback
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Please Check Back Again Soon
One of the fields of information requested in the "Add Account" feature was the account number. "Enter the account number exactly as it appears on your bill including spaces and dashes". I did not have a bill handy but I had the yellow letter and it had my account number on it. It said Account Number: 0032762-01 so that is what I entered. An error message appeared saying "Please enter your account number exactly as it appears on your bill". After another couple of tries, I dug out an old bill and saw that the account number on it was 0327003276201. Obviously related but not exactly the same. Comcast wants me to be consistent, even though they aren't. I entered the number yet again -- exactly the way they wanted it. Then I got the following message. "We're Sorry. Although you are a current Comcast customer, online account management features are not available in your area. We are working hard to upgrade our systems to provide these features to all of our customers. Please check back again soon." On Demand. Not. |
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Tuesday, December 21, 2004 |
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IBM Happenings: Please give me your feedback...
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Monday, December 20, 2004 |
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Five Days?
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Sunday, December 19, 2004 |
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Weekends On Demand
One of the attitudes that has been around for decades is that there is something different about a weekend. It used to be true. When transactions were down via paper forms (unfortunately a lot still are) the forms would arrive at a company, for example, and people at computer "terminals" would enter the transactions into the central systems. In many cases the people doing this worked Monday to Friday from nine to five. During the "off" hours changes could be made to the systems because consumers were not directly depending on them. Of course this has changed, not just because of the Web, but because of the global availability of the Web. Two AM in New York is three PM in Tokyo. Nevertheless, we still occasionally see messages on a Web page saying "we are down for maintenance". It isn't just maintenance of systems -- it may also be updating of central databases with "batches" of transactions that were accumulated during the prior day(s). On Saturday I was updating my own data with Quicken. With a couple of mouse clicks Quicken downloads data from American Express, Charles Schwab, CitiBank, etc. I noticed that something didn't look right in a Schwab account so I called their outstanding technical support. They said the problem was that Intuit (producer of Quicken) updates certain securities information on the weekend and if you connect at that time you will get some erroneous transaction data. On Sunday I attempted to move some American Express Member Miles to Continental Airlines. the good news is that AMEX now has a Web transaction page where you can request the transfers. The bad news is that after entering my data I got a messages saying "Please click on the Submit button only once. Your request will take a few seconds to process. Thank you for your patience". I waited five minutes or so and then tried again. Same message. I then called and the always delightful AMEX customer service representative did the transaction for me. She said it would be completed in 24-48 hours (that is another issue and one I have written about before). She also said that the Web transaction frequently doesn't work on weekends because that is when systems are being updated. I don't know if the reasons given by the support representatives about the source of the problems are correct. I have my doubts about that. All I know for sure is that in both cases I couldn't' do what I wanted to do and in both cases the result was that it took a lot of extra time on my part to fix things. I have no doubt that Intuit and American Express are on the path to becoming On Demand businesses. They are committed. The organizations that become truly On Demand will gain great loyalty from customers. For most of us, weekends are when we have a few minutes to catch up on various transactions. We expect Web sites to be available and reliable. This is not a technical issue, it is a societal issue -- and an issue of expectations. |
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Thursday, December 16, 2004 |
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Lenovo - 2
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Wednesday, December 15, 2004 |
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iTrike Riding
Gadgets , Mobile , Motorcycles , Music , Personal Computing December 15, 2004 10:06 AM |
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Friday, December 10, 2004 |
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IT Leadership Academy - 2004
Michael Mino is the director of the IT Leadership Academy and has organized the program. The students selected have been identified as leaders and I was very impressed with their knowledge and interest. The students asked poignant questions about WiFi, security, spam, and other pertinent topics. They are clearly on top of what the key issues are. After I described what is going on in Philadelphia with the lead telecommunications company pushing for restrictions on the city's ability to offer WiFi to the citizens at large, one student asked how this could be. He was dumbfounded. So am I. P.S. Craig is quite an accomplished author. His grid computing book is the best on the sujbect. |
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Wednesday, December 8, 2004 |
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ThinkPad Futures
The deal that was announced sounds very good to me as a stockholder and as a former member of the PC team. The IBM PC and IBM ThinkPad are sentimental to millions of people but the deal was not about sentiment -- it was about strategy. The jewel in the transaction is not in the numbers -- it is in the people. I have known Steve Ward -- the new CEO -- and Fran O'Sullivan -- the new COO -- for a long time. They are top notch executives. Steve has been IBM's CIO, a former ThinkPad general manager, and head of IBM's global industrial sector. With a proven management team in place it shows the customers that both IBM and Lenovo Group are serious about keeping them as customers. It also shows the employees in the new venture a leadership that they already know and trust. There are a number of more subtle benefits to the deal that go beyond the initial numbers. One is increased presence in the China market. IBM has been operating successfully in China for many years and has thousands of customers and employees there, but now, with a strong "local" partner, they will be able to expand the relationships beyond the current base. Lenovo has a lot of experience in dealing with high volumes of products and, combining that with the world class research and development of IBM, Lenovo will be able to expand their capabilities and continue the innovation that has been a hallmark of IBM. By "untethering" the PC business from IBM the new venture will have more flexibility to bob and weave around the competitive landscape. Meanwhile IBM can focus on high value businesses such as software, support, consulting, and other services. The bottom line with the deal is that there is synergy breaking out all over the place. I have confidence they can make the combination successful. IBM has a good track record of both acquiring and spinning off businesses. A spin-off of a low-end printer division in 1991became Lexmark International, Inc., which is a $5 billion company with a market capitalization of more than $11 billion. The spin off of the low-end storage business to Hitachi Data Systems has gone very smoothly. Same thing on the acquisition side. In 1995 IBM acquired Lotus Development Corporation which is now at the forefront of redefining client software for the enterprise. The acquistion of Price Waterhouse Coopers Consulting is a text book case of leveraging two companies into one. In the past two years IBM has had more than two dozen acquisitions (mostly middleware companies), such as Rational, that have been seamlessly integrated. The IBM management team knows how to work with other companies. Although handheld devices are becoming the majority player in the connected world, the PC is not going to go away anytime soon. I expect to be using ThinkPads for a long time to come. |
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Monday, December 6, 2004 |
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WiFi Update No. 10 (The WanderPort)
Another interesting connectivity approach called IntelliEdge is being offered by DropZone Networks. What is unique about their approach is that they have created an outdoor-ready wireless platform that supports WiFi and several other protocols in one small system that is solar-powered. The system is aimed at service providers to enable them to deploy high profitability offerings such as multi-player mobile gaming, mobile music downloading, mobile video broadcasting social applications and VoIP. So much for mere land-based connectivity. Vint Cerf has been talking about the InterPlanetary Net for years! Many of us would settle for just WiFi on an airline flight. It is finally beginning to happen thanks to Connexion by Boeing, the first high-speed Internet service available to commercial airline passengers. Lufthansa, SAS, JAL, ANA and others are in the process of equipping their long-haul aircraft with the new WiFi service.The best news is that the airlines plan to make it available throughout the planes, not just in premium classes. I think eventually it will become "jacks or better" -- the minimum needed to compete -- but at the outset it will not be cheap. It may be as much as $30 per flight. Cheap compared to what I paid in Scandinavia, but still expensive. On long inter-continental flights it will make sense though. I enthusiastically signed up for the service for a flight to Cairo a couple of months ago. Unfortunately, the flight crew had never heard of it. Seems like the training program is a bit behind the marketing program. Finally, airports are getting on the WiFi bandwagon big time. Complete airport listings are available at JiWired's Hotspot Locator . |